Thursday, March 12, 2015

The Economics Vaccine

The Economics Vaccine by Kelley Manbeck

For decades it has been an obvious choice to vaccinate children, it gives them immunity against diseases and stops them from spreading it to others. There are diseases that have almost been eliminated from our society due to successful vaccines making us more resistant. As shown in the chart, there is a clear link between vaccines and people not getting sick. Vaccines have been proven to work in the majority of patients. However, its a new trend to not vaccinate your kids to protect them from side effects that have been rumored to come from the vaccines. While its a huge debate over the social effects of the unvaccinated people in society, there is no debate between economists. Not vaccinating your children is indisputably bad for the economy due to the ripple effect that comes from many children acquiring all kinds of  diseases that we have grown less resistant to due to their longtime absence, which was originally caused by the introduction of vaccines.

With less demand for the Vaccines, as much as 10% of children going unvaccinated in some areas, the economy already suffers just based on physical nominal amount of money spent on vaccines. However, lack of vaccinated people cause the “Ripple effect.” Because the trend of anti vaccination happens in pockets and is not spread out across places where most people are vaccinated, these pockets get hit hard when an outbreak of disease happens. The ripple effect explains how an outbreak of measles among unvaccinated kids can lead to schools closing down, causing more people to relocate or take off work to accommodate their kids, which in turn causes a decrease in the labor. This is like a miniature recession happening to the area, all because a few kids missed their immunizations.

In what (http://www.cnbc.com/id/102421130#) calls Anti-Vaccine Elitism, people with higher incomes are the most likely culprits for being against vaccines. A theory they pose is because this group of people, the more educated and more entitled, are the ones who have other medical opinions because they feel they know something on the subject. However, these more educated few usually are not experts on diseases and how to cure them the way developers of vaccines are. this loosely fits to the idea of specialization, meaning people would be much more efficient if they stuck to what they were good at doing. The parents are not the vaccine doctor, even if they feel they are all around smarter than the many professions that go into vaccine development combined.

Vaccines do a lot more for the economy than affect kids schools. “The Centres for Disease Control and Prevention says that among children born during 1994-2013, vaccinations prevented 322m illnesses, 21m hospitalisations and 730,000 deaths.” (http://www.economist.com/blogs/democracyinamerica/2015/02/politics-and-vaccinations?zid=318&ah=ac379c09c1c3fb67e0e8fd1964d5247f).  Because so many people are not dying and getting sick, the supply of labor increases not only because of the people not dying but also allows the previous doctors who would have to help these sick people now get the chance to specialize and work in other areas, as they would not need to “Clean up” after the choices of the anti-Vaxxers, choices that made the kids sick.  The Washington Post wrote an article on the subject, and looked at benifits of health on overall society.
“The CDC researchers also weighed the benefits of the vaccinations ("savings in direct and indirect costs that accrued from averting illnesses, hospitalizations, and deaths") against costs ("program costs included vaccine, administration, vaccine adverse events, and parent travel and work time lost"). In 2009 alone, the researchers determined, each $1 spent on vaccines and their administration yielded $10 in benefits to society.” (http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/05/05/how-the-anti-vaccine-movement-is-endangering-lives/). This is an application of the idea of the Spending Multiplier, which states that as more money in the economy is spent, it will be multiplied so even more money than what was spent will be available to the next spenders of the money. If people aren't spending huge amounts of money to not die of measles, they can spend it other places that might prove better for the economy.

How could people be encouraged to vaccinate their kids? The government already supports vaccination, and shows this by subsidizing the manufacturers enough money to continue to produce. This helps to encourage consumers to use the product because a subsidy makes the final product cheaper. The government has issued laws stating that in order for a child to be in public school, they must have all the mandatory vaccinations. With all the push towards vaccinations, there is not much more that can be done economically that would persuade people to vaccinate. While “natural selection” is probably not the right answer when it comes to dealing with the Anti-Vaxxers, there really are not that many other options.


Works Cited:
"The Case of the 'anti-vaccine Elitism'" CNBC. N.p., 12 Feb. 2015. Web. 09 Mar. 2015.

"Clinical Infectious Diseases." Financing Immunizations in the United States. N.p., n.d. Web. 09 Mar. 2015.

"How Anti-vaxxers Could Weaken the Seattle-area Economy - Puget Sound Business Journal." Puget Sound Business Journal. N.p., n.d. Web. 09 Mar. 2015.

"How the Anti-vaccine Movement Is Endangering Lives." Washington Post. The Washington Post, n.d. Web. 09 Mar. 2015.

"Tracing the Origins of the Anti-vaccine Movement." PBS. PBS, n.d. Web. 09 Mar. 2015.

"What Experts Say, and What People Hear." The Economist. The Economist Newspaper, 05 Feb. 2015. Web. 09 Mar. 2015.

22 comments:

  1. This was a really interesting post, and I thought it was cool how you related something like vaccines to economics. We normally don't directly associate anything medical related with economics but you effectively did. What do you think the cause of the deviation from the trend of people getting vaccines was. In my mind, I feel like the wealthier crowd would be the ones that would get vaccines. What do you think the future holds for vaccines?

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  2. I am a bit surprised that people would go without vaccines but to everyone makes their own decisions. I didn't really imagine vaccines having as big of an impact on the economy as they do which is interesting. Also the fact that wealthier people are the people to not get vaccines surprises me because they have the money to dish out for vaccines. Its almost narcissistic to have the money and not get vaccines because you feel you know enough about diseases to avoid them. Anyway the article was well written, I skimmed some parts but it was still a cool article anyway.

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  3. I like the topic that you chose, as it is becoming more and more popular. I believe that everyone would have a differing opinion on vaccinations, but nice job taking an economist standpoint. Great job incorporating economic jargon, as well! There was a lot of good information and evidence to back up your essay. You took a stance supporting the use of vaccines, however, maybe you could incorporate some of the opposing side. Why do people avoid vaccinations? Could you include more visuals to support your claim?

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  4. This was a very interesting topic, especially since it is current event that has been posted on the news quite frequently. If you think about it, the benefit of a vaccine definitely outweighs the cost of the shot, even when you can get them for a very low price or even free in certain areas. I agree that it is troubling that there is such a low demand for vaccines especially since they have such a great impact of society by protecting it and keeping us working and not spreading it to the communities around them.

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  5. This subject has been discussed in recent news with the measles outbreak in the West coast about two months ago. I agree that vaccinations are very important to help all population be free of disease, and I think that looking at it through an economist viewpoint is very important because of all the trade-offs being made by deciding to not vaccinate your child. The medical field, like you said, is very affected by this decision, much money will be spent with research and production of the vaccinations, while the desired amount of the population is not buying them. If the rate of vaccinations decreases more money will be spent for the treatment of common diseases that could be easily avoided with a simple vaccination.

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  6. New parents are in fact inexperienced and tend to be over protective and not knowing which way is best and sometimes moving in the direction of the most advertised options. With the decrease in demand the price should go down and those who couldn't afford them for any reason can make them more accessible.

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  7. Vaccination has been a common topic of interest in the news lately, so it is really neat to see you relate the decline in vaccination rate to economics. People are beginning to deviate from the past ways all because of some rumors about side effects. The economy would benefit the most if everyone were to get their vaccines like it is recommended. There is less demand for vaccines, which would cause a change in the demand curve, not a change in quantity demanded. I liked your post and your evidence to support your claim. Thank you for sharing!

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  8. Kelley, I thought that your first image was very powerful, the fact that it showed that vaccines have made that much of an impact on diseases in our country is a very compelling argument right off the bat. While there were some grammatical and structural issues overall I felt that you wrote a very good article that articulated your point well. One way I thought that you did this was by using strong evidence to support your thesis and ideas. Anyone who watches the news knows that this topic is becoming more prominent and controversial, and while the government subsidizes vaccine manufacturing and production - people are still not vaccinating? What do you think would be a compelling argument that would encourage more parents vaccinate their child? And what do you feel would happen if more people started vaccinating their kids again in terms of economics?

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  9. This is a very interesting article. Vaccinations not only keep the people who get them healthy, but also the people who physically can't get vaccinations. The overall health of society improves when most of the people get the vaccine because are less people to catch it and have it spread. This recent decrease in demand for vaccines is very dangerous because most of the diseases that those vaccinations protect against can be fatal towards children, especially babies who can't get vaccinations until they are one year old. Since many of the doctors haven't ever to had to deal with measles or mumps, there isn't the demand for them that there was when those diseases were common. Now, since parents are choosing not to vaccinate their kids, doctors have to know how to treat it, if anyone were to contract it.

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  10. Its weird to know that vaccines only cost about a dollar and the marginal benefit is greater than the marginal cost of 10 dollars of benefit per one dollar vaccine. But its also weird to know that some people don't vaccinate their children or themselves knowing that they could put themselves and the people around them at risk because of a few cases of vaccination side effects.

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  11. Vaccines are very debated today it is a true fact, but a vaccine in some parents minds are considered an elastic good because the child doesn't necessarily need it to survive. Since the child doesn't need it to survive the opportunity cost of getting a vaccine would be money and the potential side effects that they consider to be harmful to their child. Yes, it is important to get vaccinated, but it is a persons choice. Even if one child gets vaccinated it is a positive externality due to the fact that it's less of a chance for others who haven't been vaccinated to get sick. Meaning that the demand for vaccinations should go up because no one wants to potentially end up with a disease that could have been cured if they would have gotten a vaccine.

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  12. It's good to see all of the information about vaccines and all of the diseases that have pretty much been killed of by them. I also like how you talk about what is happening now that people are not willing to go out and get vaccines. I didn't know that the people that were against getting vaccines were wealthier people though. That was actually really surprising. It would have been cool if you would have found information about what could happen if people continued to not get vaccines and how it could affect how people live today.

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  13. Vaccines are a great topic and area of interest right now. Vaccines are good, but I never really looked into the economic side of these things. Honestly, there definitely should be no decrease in demand, that only shows the painful decision parents are making, not to vaccinate. Diseases that are age old are coming back about, once previously mostly eradicated illnesses are making a comeback and that directly correlates with the decrease in demand.

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  14. A vaccine is a prime example of a positive externality that helps society as a whole. When people are making a decision on vaccines they need to keep in mind that if they don’t get vaccinated that may actually cause a reverse free loader effect. The free loader effect is when one person takes utility from someone else without paying anything. Those who are around people who are unvaccinated now experience the negative externality of those around them that could make them sick. Even though vaccines have some short run problems such as the need to take off of school or work, the long run benefits of the vaccine outweigh the short run costs.

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  15. Kelley, I thought that your use of images was very impactful and helped make your argument more convincing. However I do feel like some of the grammatical errors, and the organization distracted from your piece, but overall it was a good article and I think that you proved your point. I think that you used strong evidence to support your ideas and theseis. I also think that this is an interesting and relevant topic considering the recent debate surrounding whether or not people should vaccinate their children. I was also wondering what you think would happen-- economically-- if we saw an increase in vaccines in children?

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  16. A vaccine is a really god topic to bring up because lately we have seen more talk from politicians and the news about this. If you haven't noticed there was a Measles Outbreak at Disneyland in California. This particular outbreak had made public scrutiny making politicians to pass a new law stating that children at a certain age should be vaccinated so that it doesn't continue to spread like it has. With this law being in place now it is great that the government is trying to stop the epidemic. This essay you wrote can be very similar to the Ebola Epidemic in which, they are trying to make a vaccine and trying to get the government to fund money so that they can produce a vaccine. This is also a great topic that was brought up because it can relate to economics very well from the ways that you had mentioned above and the reason that I provided above clearly states it.

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  17. I agree that sometimes it is necessary not to get vaccinations, however many times there is an external benefit which the government must keep in mind, and in order to correct it they have to take into action policies including subsidizing. Without this, society will not get the amount of vaccination they are demanding

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  18. I think that vaccinations should be a mandatory thing unless it gets in the way of religion. Otherwise being protected helps us and the rest of the population, not only with diseases but the geriatrics and newborns with low immune systems.

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  19. A vaccine is definitely a positive externality but nowadays with all the debate on whether vaccines are linked to autism and cancer I can see why some parents are hesitant. In a perfect world it would be great if everyone would just follow the protocol and get their vaccines but we know that just doesn't happen. With that being said, I did like your visual and I thought it really helped add something extra to your argument. Overall, great job and interesting topic!

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  20. Overall I think that there’s nothing worse for a country than ignorance because if people believe that vaccines are doing more harm than they are good. People need to know the facts that if they don’t vaccinate their own children, not only are they putting them at risk, but everyone around them. I think the biggest incentive you could give to the country would be to show everyone what would happen if everyone just stopped getting vaccines, showing the stats of how dangerous that could be. A disease is seldom ever destroyed completely, it simply lays dormant waiting for the opportunity to infect. It might be incentive enough to know what those diseases do. I mean in the past they discovered cures for them out of fear for what they did, so I think just letting the general public know will put some anti-vaxers in action.

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  21. Lately there's been a huge trend for people to not get vaccinated because it is rumored to cause autism and other issues, but this has not been proven. I've noticed a lot of places now are providing free and reduced price vaccinations to try to entice people to do so because of the declining demand to receive this shots. Personally, I believe it is dangerous to not have your children or yourself vaccinated because of the fact that you pose a threat to others by infecting them if you become ill and also because these shots protect people from diseases that people easily died from before vaccines existed! Vaccinations save thousands of lives a year and protect you and also everyone else from becoming ill. I didn't realize that there was actually a small recession because of people not getting shots, but it makes sense because of the fact it's a huge industry that benefits virtually everyone.

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