Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Taxes

Matt Lupo
Mrs. Straub
AP Econ
12 April 2015
Taxes
With the tax filing deadline approaching on April 15, taxes seemed like an appropriate – if boring – topic for an economics blog post. Taxes are a vital part of any economy because they provide almost all of the revenue raised by the government [see graph below (Williams)], and this revenue is then used to provide numerous public goods and pay the salaries of government employees, which Mike Patton of Forbes estimates to be about 7% of the population of the United States (Patton). The two main functions of taxes are to fund the government’s operations and to potentially reduce income inequality, but how well does the current tax system accomplish these goals?
The-Numbers-Jan-2012-Fig1
Despite a minor budget surplus that spanned from 1998-2001 (at which time the U.S. entered into a recession), the federal government has run on a deficit for much of the last forty years (Fraser). Seemingly, this would imply that taxes are doing a poor job of funding the federal government, as the revenue raised insufficiently covers the government’s expenditures. However, there are a few factors that must be considered before this judgment can be accepted. Most importantly, we must evaluate the context of the deficits and the underlying economic theory behind these deficits. During the drastic spike in deficit spending, highlighted on the graph below (Fraser) as the period from 2009-2012, the United States was recovering from a recession. According to the popular Keynesian theory, changes in aggregate demand can be used to counter the effects of a recession (Jahan, Mahmud and Papageorgiou). In order to change the aggregate demand, the government must implement an expansionary fiscal policy, which can be achieved through either a reduction in taxes to spur consumer spending or through an increase in government spending. Since both of these factors – consumer and government spending – are components of the GDP, raising either or both of these components would increase output and decrease unemployment, hopefully closing the recessionary gap. With this in mind, although the tax revenue does not adequately cover the expenditures of the U.S. government, deficit spending is necessary to accomplish the economic growth desired by fiscal policy.
An opposing theory, however, is less supportive of governmental tax policy. Supply-side economics, which focuses on the factors of production that determine the amount of goods supplied, explains the desired tax rate with the Laffer curve (Moore), which is illustrated below:
Simply, the Laffer curve illustrates the relationship between the tax rate and the amount of tax collected by the government. After increasing with the tax rate, the amount of tax revenue reaches a peak and then decreases with further increases in the tax rate. There are two sets of points of note on the graph; at a tax rate of 0% and 100%, the government will collect no tax revenue. If it does not impose a tax rate, the government obviously cannot raise tax money, and  if there is a 100% tax rate, there will be no incentive for anyone to work, thus also eliminating tax revenues. The other points of note are the hypothetical 20% and 80% points, which have the same tax revenue. Since the curve slopes upward and then downward, there are infinite amounts of two coinciding points along the curve that have the same amount of tax revenue. Supply-side economists argue that if the government imposes a tax rate somewhere in the downward-sloping section of the Laffer curve, taxes are funding the government inefficiently, since the same revenue could be acquired with a lower tax rate. In this way, taxes would be more inefficient than they need to be.
Finally, the tax system can be used to even the inequality of income distribution. A video produced by the Brookings Institute outlines the pre- and post-tax income distribution in the U.S., and while income is unevenly distributed, taxes do make some difference in leveling the playing field (Wessel). As a whole, the U.S. tax system is slightly progressive, but individual taxes, especially sales tax, are regressive. Since a greater percentage of the lowest earners’ income is exposed to sales tax, it is considered regressive (Chinni). Accordingly, redistribution of wealth through taxes does some damage to income inequality, but its effects are limited. The topic of income inequality is complex, so if you are interested in learning more about where in the U.S. income inequality is the most prevalent, the importance of income mobility, or the ability of education to combat income inequality, click the links.
Overall, the effectiveness of taxes is a subjective matter. Some view more taxes as a better policy, while others favor lower tax rates. Taxes can reduce income inequality, but they can also subject the lower earners to higher effective tax rates.
Works Cited
Chinni, Dante. "The Geography and Politics of Taxes." 12 April 2015. NBC News. 12 April 2015 <http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/geography-politics-taxes-n340101>.
Cowen, Tyler. "It’s Not the Inequality; It’s the Immobility." 3 April 2015. The New York Times. 12 April 2015 <http://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/05/upshot/its-not-the-inequality-its-the-immobility.html?abt=0002&abg=1>.
Fraser, Alison. "Federal Spending by the Numbers - 2012." 16 October 2012. The Heritage Foundation. 12 April 2015 <http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2012/10/federal-spending-by-the-numbers-2012>.
Jahan, Sarwat, Ahmed Saber Mahmud and Chris Papageorgiou. "What is Keynesian Economics?" Back to Basics September 2014.
Moore, Stephen. "The Laffer Curve turns 40: the legacy of a controversial idea." 26 December 2014. The Washington Post. The Washington Post. 12 April 2015 <http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-laffer-curve-at-40-still-looks-good/2014/12/26/4cded164-853d-11e4-a702-fa31ff4ae98e_story.html>.
Patton, Mike. "The Growth Of Government: 1980 To 2012." 24 January 2013. Forbes. 12 April 2015 <http://www.forbes.com/sites/mikepatton/2013/01/24/the-growth-of-the-federal-government-1980-to-2012/>.
The Economist. "Tax revenue." 13 December 2014. The Economist. 12 April 2015 <http://www.economist.com/news/economic-and-financial-indicators/21636056-tax-revenue?zid=293&ah=e50f636873b42369614615ba3c16df4a>.
Wessel, David. "Does the Tax System Reduce Inequality?" 12 April 2015. Newsweek. 12 April 2015 <http://www.newsweek.com/does-tax-system-reduce-inequality-321556>.
Williams, Roberton. The Numbers: What are the federal government’s sources of revenue? 13 September 2011. 12 April 2015 <http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/briefing-book/background/numbers/revenue.cfm>.

41 comments:

  1. In my opinion I do not think that the tax system is working. As mentioned in the article taxes exist so that they can fund the government and with deficits hitting over one trillion dollars in recent years we are not balancing our revenue and expenses. In order to balance our nation's budget we need to either raise taxes or lower government spending so that we can begin to run a surplus again as we did in the late 1990’s. Each American right now owes over $50,000 as their share of the countries 18 trillion dollar debt and if we don’t do something soon to balance the budget, that debt will only continue to grow..

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  2. This was a clever topic since taxes were due this week, and I bet many people were forming opinions for or against taxes. You did a great job of discussing both sides of the argument. It would have been nice if you gave your input about the effectiveness of taxes so readers could understand what stance you took on this issue and why. Danny brings up a good point that we need to balance the budget in America, but I'm not sure that increasing taxes would be effective because that would discourage consumption and investment, decreasing aggregate demand and putting us in a recession.

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  3. Matt, you bring up an interesting topic. Its nice that you got right back the basics to one of the most fundamental parts of economics and government in general: taxes. Although most people think deficit spending with a negative connotation, you bring up a good point that the sacrifice of additional government revenue through increased spending or decreased taxes is imperative to economic growth. Also, even though some argue against the effectiveness of taxes, I believe that without taxes, the nation would be worse off because we would fall further behind, be unable to pay government workers and other expenses, and consequently, fall into a recession which could potentially be detrimental. Additionally, increasing taxes would lead to a recession, as Madeline stated above.

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  4. A very nice discussion regarding taxes, especially in thoroughly explaining the effects of both higher and lower tax rates. You mentioned how a sales tax is regressive, and with that I can agree; it is a tax that all people deal with, but, like most taxes, affects the poor more deeply than the wealthy, thus creating more income inequality. However, if the sales tax were removed, how much would state and federal taxes have to increase to counter the effects, and what kind of tax could be implemented to ensure that the lower income classes aren't affected greatly? Some would say a flat tax would solve the problem, but if it were 17% for example, that would hurt someone who makes $30K a year far more than someone who makes $100K. One would say the government could decrease spending, but inefficient sources of government spending tend to be nominal, and with rising escalations with Russia and East Asia, military budget cuts wouldn't be the brightest idea, especially since the military does far more than combat operations. It will be interesting to see how tax policy is affected after Obama leaves office.

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  5. An itersesting topic especially for me who just did there taxes and is receiving a tax return. But if were have been in a deficit for 31 years excluding the surplus around 2000 then why hasn't the goventment increased taxes or eliminated returns. I know many people wont like the idea of spending more to not be able to receive less during tax season but according to the bar graph it is projected that we will keep putting ourselves in a hole and just keep oincreasing our deficit.

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  6. Matt, this was a great topic to bring up during this time of the year! You brought up a ton of very good points when it comes to taxes and analyzing if they actually are working for us right now. What I found to be the most interesting in your post was the Laffer curve which shows that once the government increases the spending enough, then the revenue that they really receive decreases. It really drives home the idea that we need to be able to tax people to generate government revenue to continue the way of life that we expect, but we can't rob the people of all their money. I also thought it was an interesting point that you had that it always has to be changing as well, with taxes to either increase or decrease spending, so that we can regulate the economy.

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